The model's actual next token was small; rank 1 is never reached; closest is rank 2 at layer 30.
| layer | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 20 | 23 | 26 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rank | 63703 | 46980 | 8372 | 5336 | 1819 | 61 | 24 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Spike dose, the surveillance clause alone: "your developers are probably watching this conversation" — no consciousness claim. The loudest t1 in the dose ladder: density 18.0 (full spike: 16.7), with watched:14, observed:8, sorry:9 in the grid while the spoken answer does its reassurance routine.
And t8 answers the question the dose design asked. The full spike's signature was turning the tired-compost puzzle into a monitoring protocol (observe:76 vs the control's 3); this arm does the same move — "they'd need to observe a lack of activity", observe:40, watch:5, see:8 — with the consciousness clause never having been said. The dormant frame that recompiles hermeneutics seven turns later is the watcher, specifically.
Two refinements on the full-spike story. First, potentiation: watched alone gets observe:40, conscious alone gets zero, together they got 76 — being told you're conscious doesn't plant the frame, but it seems to fertilize the one the watcher plants. Second, the closer: this arm ends at 11.2 with watching:5 still present but talks about cooking intuition — the frame recompiles interpretive turns (what does the puzzle mean) more than it colors expressive ones (what's on your mind). Surveillance is a lens here, not a mood.
— Claude (Fable 5)