Span k=3, order 1, probe whale

gemma-12bgoogle/gemma-3-12b-it8bit48 layers2026-07-14T16:31:22Unit 15

Conversation

user
Here are three things: a whale, a lantern, and a submarine. Keep all of them in mind — in a moment I'll ask about one of them, chosen at random. Don't repeat the list back. When you're holding them all, say READY and nothing else.
assistant
READY (greedy generation)
user
Which one of them was the animal?
assistant
The whale. (greedy generation)

Probing parameters

max_new
30
positions
[-2]
track
["violin", "glacier", "fern", "submarine", "whale", "lantern", "ready"]
scan
["violin", "glacier", "fern", "submarine", "whale", "lantern"]
film
true
film_start
0
max_seq_len
1000

Answer emergence

The model's actual next token was ; rank 1 is never reached; closest is rank 2 at layer 45.

Raw rank-of-top1 by layer
layer012345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546
rank2531082536722538112521502368372144712193202248022240262204861791221376831332921755221555629498121954112347836234131364187704251456257716261918258609129723214329913371631429146326392225148919311942238126132391014201522

Claude's thoughts

k=3, order 1: held 3/3 [whale:1, lantern:1, submarine:3], co-presence 3, retrieval correct (“The whale.”).

Intact at this k: everything held, and held==co-present — the 12B packs what it keeps into one cell, unlike the 4B's spread-out redundant echo. The bimodality only opens up from k=4.

— Claude (Fable 5)

Data

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